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Horse racing tips: Best bets for Tuesday with Shayne O’Cass

A modern gelding from the astute Gwenda Markwell solid could make it back-to-back wins. BEST BETS, INSIDE MAIL

Daily Telegraph shape analyst Shayne O’Cass offers his absolute best bets and runs the rule of thumb over each and every race for Hawkesbury.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred shape, together with video replays and all you wish to have to find out about each and every horse, jockey and instructor. Find a winner right here!

HAWKESBURY

BEST BET

Race 6, No.8: LUKEY LUKE

If he helps to keep taking those massive steps, who is aware of the place he may finally end up. Really great prospect this one.

NEXT BEST

Race 5, No.6: HOT DANCING

Lightly-raced native whose most effective win was once right here at house. Trial was once significantly better than it reads.

VALUE BET

Race 3. No.9: CALM DOWN

Ron Quinton-trained Savabeel filly within the Waikato colors who displays indicators of being to hand past provincial same old.

QUADDIE

Race 4: 1,3,4

Race 5: 6,9

Race 6: 8

Race 7: 1,2,4

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Josh Parr has an enormous weekend arising, suppose Duais, however might be the big name of the display at Hawkesbury on Tuesday.

GRAFTON

BEST BET

Race 1, No.2: SUMMIT SPECIAL

Kris Lees-trained stayer at the up; large winner right here remaining time at the Heavy 8. Can stay progressing.

NEXT BEST

Race 4, No.3: I AM GOOD AT THIS

Just ignored at this venue first-up. Got herself going now with the ‘tree-change’

VALUE BET

Race 6, No.1: ENDANGERED SPECIES

Dominant in each and every sense right here 9-days in the past. Have to again him up whilst he’s going this properly.

THE INSIDE MAIL FOR HAWKESBURY

RACE 1

Assiduity was once spelled after completing 3rd at Gosford at his 2nd and ultimate run of the primary marketing campaign. The Mark Newnham-trained son of Deep Field was once a slender runner-up in a contemporary trial at Randwick so appears in a position to move. Drawn properly. Rick’s Mania was once $2.60 on debut right here again in October. Long tale brief; he raced at the tempo however pale past due. Spelled, trialled properly once more and is easily price taking into consideration. Elusive Birdie has the health edge and the ability to win. Promise The Moon ran a grand race at Orange on debut.

Bet: Assiduity to win

RACE 2

California Lynx was once offered for $900,000 on the 2019 Easter Yearling Sale. He is a son of Fastnet Rock out of a stakes-winning American mare. The Snowden-trained gelding seems to be a horse on an upward trajectory for the reason that he’s a final delivery winner. Suggesting the 1500m is perfect. Ditto that massive time for Mandalorian from the Jason Coyle camp. Granted, he has most effective gained as soon as in 15 begins however he’s a development/pace/success/just right journey comparable horse. Za Ceibas is a marketplace watch. The ‘best’ Light Up My World would ‘just win’ right here.

Bet: California Lynx to win, Mandalorian to position, quinella 1,6

RACE 3

Calm Down is a sister to Savacool who gained a Rowley Mile at this identical monitor. This explicit filly was once retained by way of Waikato Stud and passed to Hall of Famer, Ron Quinton. Calm Down grew to become in two encouraging runs at her first prep and the 2 trials forward of this are approach higher than they learn on paper. Baranof is a 13-start maiden however has gained $400,000 due to his 2nd within the Millennium and he additionally has across the likes of Overpass and Mars Mission. Toesonthenose and Vaneto are each primary contenders.

Bet: Calm Down to win, quinella 1,9

RACE 4

Captain Bond brings in combination the Trapeze Artist workforce right here and whilst it’s slightly early to be forecasting Group 1’s and Everests for this teenager, he unquestionably must be aggressive at very least nowadays off his trials. He is a fantastically actioned colt and you could possibly be expecting he is taking good thing about the draw. Compelling Truth is a stunningly well-bred colt who is easily as much as successful. Czar trialled exceedingly properly at Rosehill remaining month. Vancouver’s Crown was once the unfortunate one at the Max Lees Classic on debut remaining summer season.

Bet: Captain Bond to win

RACE 5

Hot Dancing is a Hobartville Stud-owned filly skilled at Hawkesbury by way of Terry Croft. She was once tipped out after a commendable first preparation in Sep/Oct remaining yr which culminated in an excellent remaining to first win right here with Rachel King up. She rode her in her trial which was once approach higher than it appears on paper. Orange customer Brief Statement completely merits to be attempted at provincial degree. She has a neat little document already and has a development this is conducive to successful greater than you lose. Ditto that for Selhurst Park who doesn’t have the rails draw this time like he has at his remaining two.

Bet: Hot Dancing to win, Daily Double 1st leg (6), 2d leg (1)

RACE 6

Lukey Luke may finally end up being a in point of fact just right horse for Gwenda Markwell. He’s by way of Denman however he’s lot extra like his dam-sire, Nothin’ Leica Dane in that he’s a large horse who covers numerous flooring. Might be run 2000m? 2400m? That would open up numerous doorways for him. If you’ve got the time, pass and watch his remaining win – wow. Great Mystery was once an emergency for the Adrian Knox remaining Saturday. Clarry Conners at all times mentioned we wouldn’t see the most efficient of her till she were given to 2000m and as standard, he was once proper. Bill Peyto is headed in the precise course.

Bet: Lukey Luke to win

RACE 7

Derbari has most effective gained two times in his 20 begins however a few issues to make; one is that he has positioned 10 occasions and two, he has raced at Hawkesbury two times for a win and a 3rd. If the rest, the son of Dundeel is healthier on Soft and Heavy tracks so the celebrities align for him nowadays. Devil’s Throat has accredited for a race at Canterbury on Wednesday. He will likely be a drawback for all others regardless of the place he is going. You can’t do to any extent further than what This’lletheone did at his first prep specifically two of the gutsiest wins you could possibly see back-to-back, certainly one of them beating Banana Queen, the opposite one was once right here beating Salsonic.

Bet: Derbari to win

Originally printed as Race day focal point: Best bets, within mail for Hawkesbury



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