Daniel Williams’ ebook Forsaken: The Persecution of Christians in Today’s Middle East, printed in 2016, contributed a lot to our figuring out of the plight of an historical spiritual confession underneath excessive duress. It stays related now:
“Across the Middle East today, Christian communities find themselves the victims of widening repression to a point where, in the region that was its birthplace, Christianity’s very existence is under threat.… The ideological source of such threats is no secret. They originate in ultra-conservative Salafi and Wahhabi movements within Islam, for whom Christians are, at best, dispensable.”
It took some braveness to mention this, which is why I felt on the time that Williams used to be a author to look at. That is why his contemporary article in Asia Times, “Central Asia on the fence about Russia’s war,” comes as one thing of a sadness.
Williams says, “The myths and realities of 30 years of Central Asian independence from the Soviet Union suddenly stand on shaky ground. Each government – all of them authoritarian – use glorified local identities and histories to distinguish their nations from eras of Russian domination.”
The recommendation appears to be that the Central Asian states and their cultures are synthetic buildings that will have to be thought to be failed or somehow unattractive on account of the lingering proof in their Soviet/czarist provenance. But no country will also be blamed for having the cultural legacy it has.
While Williams might need to enlist those nations in an anti-Russian campaign – to be adopted on the suitable time, for sure, by way of an anti-Chinese campaign – Central Asians don’t have slightly the urge for food for the Great Game that some Western commentators do.
After all, it’s the Central Asians who will take it within the neck if and when issues get out of hand (because the Ukrainians at the moment are doing). Be that as it should. One of the most efficient characteristics of Central Asians is their conviction that discussion, mutual admire, and peace are very important to lifestyles and civilization.
As for the recommendation that Central Asian tradition is someway flimsy and synthetic, it’s been cast over centuries and displays concepts and customs inherited from China, India, the Ottoman Empire, Persia, Russia, and the Soviet Union. This variety will have to be observed as actual and a supply of power.
Central Asia is a multicultural society the place spiritual freedom thrives in spite of claims on the contrary by way of the ideological fussbudgets amongst us, and indisputably to a better level than one generally encounters within the Middle East.
Uzbekistan’s cultural roots return 2,500 years. During Islam’s Golden Age (from the eighth to the 14th century), Uzbeks have been international leaders in science, particularly medication, astronomy, and optics, in addition to in philosophy and artwork. Medieval students used scientific treatises from Central Asia to give a boost to European science. Williams might need to seek the advice of Fred Starr’s Lost Enlightenment: Central Asia’s Golden Age from the Arab Conquest to Tamerlane.
Sovereign international locations
Each of the 5 nations in Central Asia – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan – is a sovereign country with an unbiased overseas coverage.
In many ways, their first 30 years of independence following the cave in of the Soviet Union used to be much less aggravating for them than the primary 30 years of American independence from Great Britain used to be for the United States. No overseas energy has invaded any Central Asian state and torched its presidential palace, while Britain burned down the White House 25 years after America’s Constitutional Convention.
The Central Asian nations don’t see themselves as pawns in any person else’s “Great Game,” and reject any try to deal with them as such. Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan have selected their respective paths of socio-political construction, and, like India, haven’t any want to shop for into no matter internet Russia, China or Europe is also spinning at any given time.
Williams says, “Some [Central Asian countries] depend on Russia for trade and transit routes for fossil fuel exports.”
Indeed they do, however then, as Indian Foreign Secretary Subrahmanyam Jaishankar lately stated to British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, “If you look at the major buyers of oil and gas from Russia [today], I think you’ll find most of them are in Europe. But I am pretty sure if we wait two or three months and actually look at who are the big buyers of Russian gas and oil, I suspect the list won’t be very different from what [it is today].”
Realpolitik has the strangest approach of trumping ideology. (See my article in Asia Times “For India’s top diplomat, the Emperor has no clothes.”)
Likewise, Williams says that “Uzbekistan, which imports oil from Russia, has gingerly expressed criticism of Russia.” In reality, Uzbekistan has criticized Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in no unsure phrases whilst noting that the European Union continues to import Russian oil and fuel in spite of its (justifiable) opposition to the battle.
Subservient or pursuing nationwide pursuits?
Williams states, for sure as it should be, that “appearing subservient to a new czar is not a good look for the heirs of Genghis Kahn, Attila the Hun and Tamerlane.” But then is forging a safety alliance with Moscow or Ankara ipso facto subservience to these capitals? Is London subservient to Washington for keeping up a safety pact with it? Williams will have to in point of fact give Central Asia extra credit score.
Except for Turkmenistan, which is precisely impartial, Central Asian nations since independence have pursued “multi-vector” overseas insurance policies, most commonly anchored in principled realpolitik. This elementary orientation is sensible in view of the choice of predators at free of their group.
For Williams to mention that the Central Asian nations are “playing it safe” is obviously intended as complaint. But there’s a option to their insanity. It’s referred to as international relations, or statecraft, which might now not be in style within the West, however continues to have its adherents within the East. In any case, simply because Central Asia does now not blindly toe the “Atlanticism” line does now not imply it’s dancing to any person else’s track.
Commenting at the Russo-Ukrainian battle, Kazakh Foreign Minister Mukhtar Tileuberdi lately had this to mention: “Kazakhstan is thinking about Ukraine ultimate a solid, unbiased, and territorially integral state.… This is a constant and principled place of our nation, in line with the elemental ideas of the United Nations Charter, together with the primary of territorial integrity of states.
“Proceeding from this, Kazakhstan in its international practice has never recognized the self-determined state entities as the subjects of international law (on the example of Kosovo, South Ossetia, Abkhazia, or Taiwan). Therefore, the issue of recognition of the sovereignty of Donetsk and Lugansk is not on our country’s agenda.”
Not a lot subservience there.
Ditto the new observation of Uzbek Foreign Minister Abdulaziz Kamilov: “Uzbekistan is committed to finding a peaceful solution to the [Russo-Ukrainian War] and resolving the conflict through diplomatic means.… Based on national interests, Uzbekistan will continue mutually beneficial cooperation with both countries.… We do not recognize Donetsk and Lugansk as independent republics.”
Back to the longer term
Williams asks, “Is Russia a trustworthy neutral partner or will it return to its 19th-century role of protector of a Christian client state?”
This is usually a connection with Russian “peacekeeping forces” in Armenia, an historical Christian country that, as the United States Congress has asserted, skilled tried genocide within the contemporary previous (H.Res.296 – Affirming the United States Record at the Armenian Genocide).
Without passing judgment at the effectiveness or appropriateness of Russian “peacekeepers” alongside the Armenian-Azerbaijani border, it kind of feels Williams rejects the concept Armenia has the correct to hunt world help to discourage assault. Does he have a nit to pick out with Turkey helping Azerbaijan?
Williams says that “all Central Asian countries share at least some vulnerabilities that make it dicey to criticize Russia, much less sign on to Western economic sanctions,” and he’s for sure right kind. But wouldn’t it now not be simply as dicey (certainly virtually unthinkable) for Europeans to criticize American sanctions towards any individual?
Such are the wages of the rising bi- and multipolar international order: Countries could have to select whilst doing their utmost to retain their sovereign freedom of motion. Central Asia has a leg up as a result of, not like others, it by no means ceased working towards conventional statecraft.