Who will win and who should

Billie Eilish made Grammy historical past in 2020 when, at age 18, she changed into the youngest artist — and handiest 2d ever — to sweep the awards display’s 4 primary classes: Record of the Year, Album of the Year, Song of the Year and Best New Artist.

If all is going to devise for Olivia Rodrigo on the 2022 rite, she may just grow to be the following to reach the feat. In addition to the coveted “Big Four,” the “High School Musical: The Musical: The Series” breakout, 19, is up for Best Pop Vocal Album (“Sour”), Best Pop Solo Performance (“Drivers License”) and Best Music Video (“Good 4 U”).

But Rodrigo has numerous festival. For the primary time, the Recording Academy has expanded the “Big Four” from 8 to ten nominees, a transfer that the group’s CEO, Harvey Mason Jr., stated will “make room for more artists and genres from music’s expansive and diverse landscape.”

Can Rodrigo apply in Eilish’s spectacular footsteps, despite the fact that? Below, Page Six predicts how the night time will — and must — pan out when “The Daily Show” host Trevor Noah hosts the sixty fourth annual Grammy Awards Sunday, April 3, at 8 p.m. ET on CBS.

Billie Eilish performing.
Seven-time Grammy winner Billie Eilish is nominated in seven classes this yr.
Getty Images for Live Nation

Record of the Year

“I Still Have Faith in You,” ABBA
“Freedom,” Jon Batiste
“I Get a Kick Out of You,” Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga
“Peaches,” Justin Bieber that includes Daniel Caesar and Giveon
“Right on Time,” Brandi Carlile
“Kiss Me More,” Doja Cat that includes SZA
“Happier Than Ever,” Billie Eilish
“Montero (Call Me by Your Name),” Lil Nas X
“Drivers License,” Olivia Rodrigo
“Leave the Door Open,” Silk Sonic

Will win: “Drivers License,” Olivia Rodrigo
Should win: “Happier Than Ever,” Billie Eilish

“Drivers License” was once some of the best songs of 2021 for a reason why. Rodrigo’s career-launching No. 1 unmarried achieves what only a few artists can do: make a 40-something really feel 18 once more. Punctuated through the sounds of a automotive engine and a door-ajar chime, her story of younger love and agonizing heartbreak tugs on the heartstrings — all ahead of the bone-chilling bridge even kicks in.

But “Happier Than Ever” nonetheless takes the cake for the largest sonic surprise of the yr. Two and a part mins into what begins as a bare-bones acoustic ballad, Eilish turns issues up 15 notches and launches into an absolute headbanger extra monstrous than the rest the Best Rock nominees have put out in years.

Kanye West performing.
Twenty-two-time Grammy winner Kanye West is up for 5 awards.
Getty Images for Universal Music

Album of the Year

“We Are,” Jon Batiste
“Love for Sale,” Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga
“Justice,” Justin Bieber
“Planet Her,” Doja Cat
“Happier Than Ever,” Billie Eilish
“Back of My Mind,” H.E.R.
“Montero,” Lil Nas X
“Sour,” Olivia Rodrigo
“Evermore,” Taylor Swift
“Donda,” Kanye West

Will win: “Happier Than Ever,” Billie Eilish
Should win: “Sour,” Olivia Rodrigo

Album of the Year is at all times a toss-up (have in mind when Beck someway, by hook or by crook beat Beyoncé in 2015?), and this yr will probably be no other. Bennett and Gaga’s 2d album would possibly appear to be an underdog right here — particularly making an allowance for it was once now not a industrial luck like their first, “Cheek to Cheek” — however lest we put out of your mind the jazz legend, 95, has been taking house Gramophones for almost six many years. Now that he has retired, the Recording Academy may just really well come to a decision to honor him one final time.

It is, then again, much more likely that some of the class’s two youngest nominees will take house the trophy. The understated but punch-packed “Happier Than Ever” is the most obvious selection given Eilish has grow to be a Grammy darling over the last two years, however “Sour” ushered in probably the most promising acts since, neatly, Eilish herself. Inspired through Alanis Morissette, Hayley Williams and Taylor Swift, Rodrigo pieced in combination an angsty, multidimensional masterpiece that united generations in a time when the sector wanted it maximum.

Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga performing together.
Album of the Year may just pass to Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga as a retirement reward for the jazz legend.
Getty Images for LN

Song of the Year

“Bad Habits,” Ed Sheeran
“A Beautiful Noise,” Alicia Keys and Brandi Carlile
“Drivers License,” Olivia Rodrigo
“Fight for You,” H.E.R.
“Happier Than Ever,” Billie Eilish
“Kiss Me More,” Doja Cat that includes SZA
“Leave the Door Open,” Silk Sonic
“Montero (Call Me by Your Name),” Lil Nas X
“Peaches,” Justin Bieber that includes Daniel Caesar and Giveon
“Right on Time,” Brandi Carlile

Will win: “Drivers License,” Olivia Rodrigo
Should win: “Drivers License,” Olivia Rodrigo

Rodrigo has Song of the Year within the bag. Sure, she is essentially the most novel songwriter of the bunch — fellow nominees Sheeran, Keys, H.E.R., Eilish and Silk Sonic’s Bruno Mars have already got SOTY trophies on their cabinets at house — however the cultural touchstone this is “Drivers License” resonated with the loads in some way the business has now not noticed in years. Rodrigo’s moderately curated lyrics despatched lovers into overdrive as they spent months on finish dissecting whether or not the heartrending monitor was once impressed through behind-the-scenes drama at Disney. A stamp of approval from her idol Swift (an 11-time Grammy winner herself) handiest additional solidified Rodrigo’s position within the canon of father tune.

Jon Batiste performing.
Jon Batiste leads with 11 nominations.

Best New Artist

Arooj Aftab
Jimmie Allen
Baby Keem
Glass Animals
Japanese Breakfast
The Kid Laroi
Arlo Parks
Olivia Rodrigo

Will win: Olivia Rodrigo
Should win: Olivia Rodrigo

All bets are on Rodrigo for Best New Artist, too. Her handiest actual festival is Finneas, whose nomination is frankly puzzling given he has been successful Grammys (8, to be exact) since 2020 for his paintings on his sister Eilish’s songs. But Finneas the performer has but to make the mark that Finneas the author and manufacturer has made, so Rodrigo don’t need to spoil a sweat. And if her subsequent challenge is part as excellent as her debut, she’ll be going to the Grammys for many future years.

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